Commonly referred to as the “suckers rally”, worldwide stock markets have returned to their recent down trend after a recent rally which tempted some back into the market. After a few days of rest bite, we are now seeing the first cautious statements from some of worlds largest companies, with many forecasting that the situation will get worse before its gets better.
We have seen statements from retailers, manufacturers and investment companies, all of whom have taken a similar line in their reading of the situations. The next step will be some official reductions in the expected growth of both local and worldwide economies, which could well lead to further profit downgrades and even sell recommendations. When you also consider that a vast number of recent takeovers rumours will soon disappear, as funding becomes more and more expensive, the premium in many share prices will soon evaporate.
Attempts by central banks around the world to shore up the money markets, by injecting much need liquidity, have had a short term impact but they cannot continue bailing out the markets for much longer. Sooner or later the market will find its natural level, a level which will be a reflection of the concerns of the moment.
All in all the next few months are going to be vital for both local and the world economy, although the probable slow down in economies may well reduce the likelihood of further base rate rises both in the UK and across the Atlantic. However, for many investors, both directly and indirectly exposed to the stock market, this will be little compensation with stock prices likely to be under pressure for some time to come.